Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Store Championship
decks
3
(13.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
6-8-1
overall winrate
43.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.1%
avg ELO -1.6 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1200
· median 1149
· range 1127–1325
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1031
Q1 1197
Q3 1369
1536
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 13.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.3 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 13.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 64.1% | +13.6 |
| Wind Allies | 13.0% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | -1.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 13.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +0.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 8.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.2% | -13.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 4.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.0% | +7.7 |
| Slimes | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.4% | -8.9 |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
